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Pronóstico: Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5) 100% Volume: $749K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 29 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)100%
Match Winner68%
O/U 2.5 Games62%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)41%
Map 2 Winner39%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)25%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-6.5) vs NRG (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-7.5) vs NRG (+7.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: valorant: karmine corp vs nrg (bo3) - vct champions group d. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between Karmine Corp and NRG in the VCT Champions Group D, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karm…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VC… on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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