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Pronóstico: Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev

Football snapshot for "Pronóstico: Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 84% Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev 67% Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner 63% Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 Winner 62% Volume: $87K Liquidity: $410K Closes: 6 Oct 2026
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Pronóstico: Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.584%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev67%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner63%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 Winner62%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 21.562%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.558%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-2.554%
Completed Match52%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 22.551%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 23.544%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.543%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 2.541%
Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.534%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev prediction market currently prices this outcome at 84% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Me…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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