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Pronóstico: Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Football snapshot for "Pronóstico: Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Match Winner 76% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 70% Map 1 Winner 69% Map 2 Winner 69% Volume: $56K Liquidity: $94K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner76%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.570%
Map 1 Winner69%
Map 2 Winner69%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.569%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)69%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.568%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)56%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)56%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5)49%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)47%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.547%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.546%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.543%
O/U 2.5 Games42%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.536%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.534%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)29%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 76% YES probability for Pronóstico: Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 3 match between MIBR and Team Envy in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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