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Pronóstico: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 80% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 79% Any Player Quadra Kill 54% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% Volume: $67K Liquidity: $302K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon80%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon79%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Game 2 Winner48%
Game 1 Winner47%
Match Winner45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)30%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%

Market context

Pronóstico: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group — current market-implied probability: 80%. This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRIO…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
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Trade Pronóstico: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - L… on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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