Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jong PSV Eindhoven | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| FC Volendam | 0% |
Market context
Jong PSV Eindhoven will face FC Volendam in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie on Monday, 10 August 2026. The match represents an early-season fixture in the second tier, where Jong PSV—the reserve side of PSV Eindhoven—competes alongside established Eerste Divisie clubs. The 100% implied probability suggests near-certainty of the match occurring as scheduled, reflecting standard fixture confirmation in the Dutch football calendar with no reported cancellations or postponements as of late July 2026.
Jong PSV's historical performance in the Eerste Divisie provides context for evaluating this fixture's baseline expectations. The reserve side typically operates with a rotating squad of academy graduates and fringe first-team players, producing inconsistent results against clubs fielding full-strength lineups. Volendam, a traditional Eerste Divisie participant from North Holland, has competed at this level intermittently over the past decade, generally finishing mid-table. Head-to-head records between these sides show competitive matches without dominant patterns, though Jong PSV's access to senior-level talent occasionally produces outlier performances.
Traders should monitor team news releases through 9 August for injury confirmations or unexpected squad changes. PSV's first-team fixture schedule in early August may influence player availability for Jong PSV, particularly if senior players are recalled for Eredivisie preparation. Volendam's pre-season conditioning and any late transfer activity could shift tactical approach. Weather conditions at the scheduled venue and any last-minute pitch concerns represent secondary settlement risks, though Dutch summer fixtures rarely encounter such obstacles. Confirmation of both teams' final squad lists typically arrives 48 hours before kickoff.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $97K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Jong PSV Eindhoven vs. FC Volendam. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade Pronóstico: Jong PSV Eindhoven vs. FC Volendam on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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