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Pronóstico: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

New York Yankees O/U 1.5 77% Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.5 76% Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 65% New York Yankees O/U 2.5 59% Volume: $294K Liquidity: $201K Closes: 1 Oct 2026
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Pronóstico: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
New York Yankees O/U 1.577%
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.576%
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.565%
New York Yankees O/U 2.559%
O/U 5.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.550%
Extra Innings49%
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.546%
O/U 6.542%
New York Yankees O/U 3.542%
Spread -1.540%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees38%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.534%
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.532%
O/U 7.530%
New York Yankees O/U 4.528%
Spread -2.528%
NRFI27%
Spread -1.525%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.524%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.523%
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.521%
New York Yankees O/U 5.519%
Spread -2.515%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.511%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.511%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees prediction market currently prices this outcome at 77% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 24 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. Th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices New York Yankees O/U 1.5 at 77% for "Pronóstico: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees".

New York Yankees O/U 1.5 77% Other 23%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $294K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Trade Pronóstico: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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Related Topics

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