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Pronóstico: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 90% Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5 85% Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.5 79% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% Volume: $856K Liquidity: $248K Closes: 1 Oct 2026
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Pronóstico: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.590%
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.585%
Philadelphia Phillies O/U 2.579%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.576%
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.575%
Philadelphia Phillies O/U 3.569%
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.566%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.564%
Philadelphia Phillies O/U 4.561%
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.559%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.556%
Philadelphia Phillies O/U 5.556%
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.555%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.552%
O/U 6.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies42%
O/U 7.536%
Spread -1.533%
O/U 8.528%
Spread -1.527%
Spread -2.521%
O/U 9.521%
Spread -2.517%
NRFI0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 90% probability to pronóstico: milwaukee brewers vs. philadelphia phillies. In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 24 at 6:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 at 90% for "Pronóstico: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

Philadelphia Phillies O/U 1.5 90% Other 10%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $856K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Trade Pronóstico: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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Related Topics

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