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Pronóstico: FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

FC Tōkyō O/U 0.5 85% O/U 0.5 83% Both Teams to Score in Second Half 51% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 50% Volume: $263K Liquidity: $392K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FC Tōkyō O/U 0.585%
O/U 0.583%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
FC Tōkyō 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
FC Tōkyō 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
JEF United Ichihara Chiba 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
JEF United Ichihara Chiba 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 1.547%
JEF United Ichihara Chiba O/U 0.534%
FC Tōkyō O/U 1.532%
FC Tōkyō (-1.5)28%
Both Teams to Score24%
O/U 2.519%
FC Tōkyō (-2.5)11%
FC Tōkyō O/U 2.511%
O/U 3.510%
JEF United Ichihara Chiba O/U 1.56%
JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-1.5)2%
O/U 4.52%
JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-2.5)1%
O/U 5.51%
JEF United Ichihara Chiba O/U 2.51%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
FC Tōkyō 1st Half O/U 0.50%
FC Tōkyō 1st Half O/U 1.50%
JEF United Ichihara Chiba 1st Half O/U 0.50%
JEF United Ichihara Chiba 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

The Pronóstico: FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 85% YES. More markets for the Japan J. League game, scheduled for August 21 at 6:30 AM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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