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Pronóstico: Vasteraas SK vs. Djurgardens IF

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Vasteraas SK vs. Djurgardens IF" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Djurgardens IF 56% Draw 24% Vasteraas SK 22% Volume: $53K Liquidity: $569K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Vasteraas SK vs. Djurgardens IF

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Djurgardens IF56%
Draw24%
Vasteraas SK22%

Market context

Västerås SK host Djurgårdens IF in Allsvenskan with the market pricing a relatively low chance of a home positive result, and the recent form gap explains why. Djurgården arrive off a 6-0 win over Västerås in the reverse fixture last weekend, and their last five completed matches read 4 wins and a draw with 14 goals scored and only 2 conceded, versus Västerås’ 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat with 7 scored and 7 conceded.[1][2]

That head-to-head record matters because it is not just one result: Djurgården have taken four wins and a draw in the last five meetings since 2024, which gives the away side a strong historical edge even before the current season’s numbers are considered.[2][19] The broader league context is tighter than the recent scorelines suggest, though, with one source listing Västerås 11th on 12 points and Djurgården 9th on 13 points, so the 22% yes price is more about away superiority and match-up history than table distance.[11]

For traders, the main catalysts are team news and whether Djurgården rotate after the heavy win only a week earlier, because any restings in attack would matter more than usual against a side that has already been exposed in this fixture.[2] Line-up confirmations and late fitness calls are the key dependency, as public match pages currently show the game as not started but do not yet provide settled team sheets or injury/suspension detail.[1][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Djurgardens IF at 56% for "Pronóstico: Vasteraas SK vs. Djurgardens IF".

Djurgardens IF 56% Other 44%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $53K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Vasteraas SK vs. Djurgardens IF. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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