Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Djurgardens IF | 56% |
| Draw | 24% |
| Vasteraas SK | 22% |
Market context
Västerås SK host Djurgårdens IF in Allsvenskan with the market pricing a relatively low chance of a home positive result, and the recent form gap explains why. Djurgården arrive off a 6-0 win over Västerås in the reverse fixture last weekend, and their last five completed matches read 4 wins and a draw with 14 goals scored and only 2 conceded, versus Västerås’ 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat with 7 scored and 7 conceded.[1][2]
That head-to-head record matters because it is not just one result: Djurgården have taken four wins and a draw in the last five meetings since 2024, which gives the away side a strong historical edge even before the current season’s numbers are considered.[2][19] The broader league context is tighter than the recent scorelines suggest, though, with one source listing Västerås 11th on 12 points and Djurgården 9th on 13 points, so the 22% yes price is more about away superiority and match-up history than table distance.[11]
For traders, the main catalysts are team news and whether Djurgården rotate after the heavy win only a week earlier, because any restings in attack would matter more than usual against a side that has already been exposed in this fixture.[2] Line-up confirmations and late fitness calls are the key dependency, as public match pages currently show the game as not started but do not yet provide settled team sheets or injury/suspension detail.[1][3]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $53K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Vasteraas SK vs. Djurgardens IF. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade Pronóstico: Vasteraas SK vs. Djurgardens IF on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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