Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC St. Gallen 1879 | 100% |
| FC Vaduz | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
FC Vaduz host FC St. Gallen 1879 in the Swiss Super League, with the game listed at Rheinpark Stadion and kick-off around 14:00 local time on Sunday. Recent head-to-head data leans against a Vaduz upset: St. Gallen beat Vaduz 1-0 in a 2021 league meeting and 2-0 in a 2024 pre-season match, while broader H2H records show St. Gallen winning more often overall, although Vaduz have also taken several of the older meetings.[1][3][5][7]
That history is why a 0% crowd-implied YES price is hard to read as a true zero rather than a statement of low confidence. St. Gallen have been the stronger side in the available comparable results, but Vaduz have also shown they can keep this fixture tight, especially at home, which matters in a market where one early goal can reprice the whole match quickly.[3][5][7]
The main catalysts for traders are the confirmed line-ups, late injury or suspension news, and any change to the start time or venue details, because those are the items most likely to move a near-zero market. Public match pages currently identify the fixture as a league game at Rheinpark Stadion, but they do not provide reliable team news, so the decisive information is still the pre-match XI announcement and any late updates from the clubs or league feed.[4][8][12]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $168K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: FC Vaduz vs. FC St. Gallen 1879. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade Pronóstico: FC Vaduz vs. FC St. Gallen 1879 on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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