🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

Pronóstico: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Volume: $561K Liquidity: $725K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?90%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Match Winner9%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
First Blood in Game 1?1%
First Blood in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)0%
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)0%

Market context

Yellow Submarine’s BO3 against Team Resilience in the Games of the Future playoffs is already live, so the crowd-implied 100% YES is mostly a reflection of the match having been scheduled and now underway rather than a clean pre-match edge. The series was set for 08:00 UTC, and live listings show it as 0-0 at start time, which leaves little room for cancellation risk unless the fixture is abandoned or left unresolved beyond the settlement window.[1][2]

The broader form line is not one-way. Recent market previews and match pages show Team Resilience entering with a stronger recent record, a higher ranking, and a more settled roster, while Yellow Submarine have also been competitive, with several sources noting wins in three or four of their last five and no reported injury or suspension issues for either side.[4][8][10] That makes this a useful case of a live market where the headline probability is driven by the market structure, not by a sharply one-sided competitive outlook.

For traders, the key catalysts are series completion, official bracket updates, and any tournament delay notice, because a BO3 that starts but is not finished can still force a non-standard resolution under the market rules. There is no sign in the available listings of lineup changes, stand-ins, or disciplinary issues, so the main watch item is simply whether the match proceeds to a winner on schedule and within the seven-day settlement backstop.[1][3][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilie… on Mundial 2026 Grupos

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →