Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| SK Brann | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| IK Start | 0% |
Market context
The Norwegian Eliteserien fixture between SK Brann and IK Start at Brann Stadion on Sunday, 12 July 2026 has already concluded with a 2–1 victory for the hosts, confirming the 100% YES settlement for the match outcome market. This result aligns with Brann’s historical dominance, having won nine of the previous 17 head-to-head meetings against Start, while Start has secured only four wins and four draws in that span[1]. The hosts’ superiority is further evidenced by their 27 goals scored against Start’s 21 in these encounters, reinforcing a pattern where Brann consistently outperforms their lower-ranked rival in Bergen.
Current form heavily favoured the outcome, with Brann sitting 11th (13 points) and Start languishing in 16th (7 points) after 14 matches[3][9]. Start’s fragility is stark: they won just one of their last 17 games across all competitions and hold a poor 0–1–6 record on the road[5]. Bookmakers priced Brann as overwhelming favourites at –280 (73% implied chance), reflecting their superior squad rating and Start’s inability to secure away wins[2][4]. Traders should note that Noah Jean Holm, Brann’s top scorer with four goals, was instrumental in the victory, while Start’s away scoring form showed an upward trend despite their overall poor results[6][8]. No suspensions or injuries altered the line-up significantly, as the pre-match odds already accounted for Start’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $89K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: SK Brann vs. IK Start. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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