Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Completions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Completions O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Completions O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 99% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 99% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 97% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 97% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 97% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 97% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 97% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 97% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 97% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 97% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 97% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 97% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 97% |
| Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 119.5 | 97% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 97% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 97% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 96% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 92% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 91% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 89% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 87% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 86% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 82% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 82% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 81% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 78% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 77% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 75% |
| Bijan Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 74% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 72% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 71% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 68% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 68% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 67% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 67% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 67% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 63% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 62% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 60% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 59% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 59% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 59% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 57% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 57% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 56% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 54% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 54% |
| Austin Hooper: Anytime Touchdown | 53% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 53% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 53% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 52% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 52% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 51% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Austin Hooper: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Charlie Woerner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Blair: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Blair: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Drake London: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Mark Redman: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Nick Muse: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nick Muse: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Zachariah Branch: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zachariah Branch: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Drake London: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Austin Hooper: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Charlie Woerner: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Chris Blair: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Drake London: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Jayden Reed: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Nick Muse: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Zachariah Branch: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Team First TD (Atlanta Falcons) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 50% |
| Michael Penix Jr.: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 50% |
| Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Pitts Sr.: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Drake London: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Jahan Dotson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Olamide Zaccheaus: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Skyy Moore: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 49% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 46% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 42% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 38% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 37% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 36% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 32% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 26% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 25% |
| Drake London: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 23% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 22% |
| Skyy Moore: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 18% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 17% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 16% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 11% |
| Chris Brooks: Anytime Touchdown | 9% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 9% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 7% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 7% |
| Skyy Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 6% |
| Charlie Woerner: 2+ Touchdowns | 5% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 5% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 5% |
| Chris Brooks: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 5% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 4% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 4% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 3% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 3% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 3% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Skyy Moore: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
Market context
Falcons vs. Packers - Player Props. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 96% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-25T00:15:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Falcons vs. Packers - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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