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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map Handicap: AIMC (-1.5) vs A Great Chaos (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: aimclub (-3.5) vs A Great Chaos (+3.5) 100% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Map 1 Winner 0% Volume: $78K Closes: 24 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: AIMC (-1.5) vs A Great Chaos (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: aimclub (-3.5) vs A Great Chaos (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between A Great Chaos and aimclub in the Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A, initially scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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