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Pronóstico: Washington vs. USC

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Washington vs. USC" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $3.9M Closes: 3 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Pronóstico: Washington vs. USC

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
2H O/U 21.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 16.5100%
Washington O/U 20.5100%
USC O/U 23.5100%
Washington 1H O/U 11.5100%
Washington 1H O/U 13.5100%
USC 2H O/U 12.5100%
USC 2H O/U 14.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
Washington vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5100%
Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5100%
USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5100%
USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5100%
USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5100%
USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5100%
USC Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
USC Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5100%
Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
USC Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
USC Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
USC Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
2H Spread -0.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
2H Spread -7.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
Washington O/U 2.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Washington vs. USC: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Washington vs. USC: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
Washington vs. USC0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
2H O/U 24.50%
2H O/U 27.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
2H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Washington O/U 23.50%
Washington O/U 26.50%
Washington O/U 29.50%
Washington O/U 32.50%
USC O/U 26.50%
USC O/U 29.50%
USC O/U 32.50%
USC O/U 35.50%
Washington 1H O/U 15.50%
USC 1H O/U 12.50%
USC 1H O/U 14.50%
USC 1H O/U 16.50%
Washington 2H O/U 11.50%
Washington 2H O/U 13.50%
Washington 2H O/U 15.50%
USC 2H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q40%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q40%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Washington vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.50%
Washington vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.50%
Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
USC Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
USC Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
USC Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
USC Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Washington vs. USC: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
2H Moneyline0%
USC O/U 4.50%
Washington O/U 3.50%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Washington vs. USC. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 28% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-03T23:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Pronóstico: Washington vs. USC".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.9M.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Washington vs. USC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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