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Pronóstico: What price will XRP hit August 10-16?

"Pronóstico: What price will XRP hit August 10-16?" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

↓ 0.90 1% ↑ 1.70 0% ↑ 1.60 0% ↑ 1.50 0% Volume: $77K Liquidity: $112K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: What price will XRP hit August 10-16?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
1% 99% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
1% 99% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
↓ 0.901%
↑ 1.700%
↑ 1.600%
↑ 1.500%
↑ 1.400%
↑ 1.300%
↑ 1.200%
↑ 1.100%
↓ 0.800%
↓ 0.700%
↓ 0.600%
↓ 0.500%
↓ 0.400%
↓ 0.300%

Market context

XRP was trading just above $1 through mid-August, with recent prints around $0.99 to $1.03 and a brief dip below $1 on 11 August, its first sub-$1 trade since 2024. That leaves the market far below the $3.84 all-time high set in January 2018, and well inside the kind of range that has kept August trading mostly momentum-led rather than trend-confirming. A move to a materially higher August peak would need a sharp break from the recent $1 support area, which has held more often than not this month.

Comparable cases point to a token that has struggled to sustain upside when the wider crypto tape is quiet and policy catalysts are delayed. XRP entered August near $1.06 and quickly slipped into a narrow band, while some commentary still framed the month as likely to stay between about $1.00 and $1.18 unless fresh headlines arrived. The current 0% yes probability fits that picture: the settlement window is short, and the price would need to produce an outsized intramonth spike after several sessions of muted action.

Traders should watch for two things: any regulatory or policy update that shifts the broader XRP narrative, and whether support near $1 gives way again as the window closes. Recent reports pointed to the CLARITY Act vote being pushed beyond the Senate recess, removing one possible catalyst in August, while Ripple-related headlines on escrow, XRPL upgrades, and tokenised-asset initiatives have not yet translated into a durable break higher. In that setting, liquidity and headline timing matter more than routine network news.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: What price will XRP hit August 10-16?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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