Pronóstico: Highest temperature in NYC on July 27?

Platform comparison

Market context

The highest temperature recorded at LaGuardia Airport on 27 July 2026 will determine this market's settlement. New York's summer peak typically occurs in late July, with historical daily maxima in the mid-80s to low-90s Fahrenheit range. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either awaiting range options to appear or treating the market as incomplete pending full resolution brackets.

LaGuardia's recorded highs for late July average around 84–87°F, though the station has logged readings above 95°F during heat waves. The 2019 heat event pushed temperatures to 92°F on 20 July, whilst cooler summers have seen peaks in the upper 70s. Traders should monitor National Weather Service forecasts from mid-July 2026 onwards; any Atlantic high-pressure system stalling over the Northeast would drive temperatures into the 90s, whilst tropical moisture or cloud cover would suppress readings. Historical precedent shows that July 27 itself has recorded highs ranging from 73°F to 88°F depending on the year, making the specific range brackets critical once they become visible on the platform.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Highest temperature in NYC on July 27?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.