Pronóstico: Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 24?

Platform comparison

Market context

Mexico City's climate during late July sits firmly within the rainy season, with afternoon thunderstorms common and daytime highs typically ranging between 24–28°C. The city's elevation at 2,250 metres moderates temperatures year-round, preventing the extreme heat seen in lower-altitude Mexican regions. Historical data from Benito Juárez International Airport shows July 24 has recorded highs between 25–27°C over recent decades, with occasional spikes to 28°C during particularly dry or clear days when cloud cover breaks and solar radiation intensifies.

The 0% crowd probability reflects the market's current framing rather than meteorological implausibility. Traders should monitor the specific temperature thresholds offered in the resolution brackets—the settlement depends entirely on which range captures the actual high recorded at the airport station on that date. Seasonal patterns favour moderate temperatures, but individual daily variation remains substantial. The National Meteorological Service (Servicio Meteorológico Nacional) publishes extended forecasts approximately two weeks ahead; checking their July 2026 outlook closer to the date will clarify whether atmospheric conditions favour typical monsoon activity or an anomalous dry spell that could push temperatures higher than the historical median.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 24?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.