Pronóstico: Highest temperature in Dallas on July 27?

Platform comparison

Market context

Dallas will record its highest temperature on 27 July 2026, measured at Love Field Station, with settlement determined by historical weather data from Wunderground. The market currently shows 0% probability across all temperature ranges, suggesting either incomplete pricing or uncertainty about which bracket will ultimately contain the day's peak reading.

July temperatures in Dallas typically range between 92°F and 98°F, with extremes occasionally reaching into the low 100s during heat waves. Historical records from the National Weather Service show that Dallas has experienced temperatures above 100°F in late July on multiple occasions, most recently in 2023 when the city endured an extended period of extreme heat. The 30-year average high for 27 July sits around 95°F, providing a baseline against which traders should calibrate their expectations. Comparable years with similar atmospheric patterns—particularly those involving high-pressure systems stalling over Texas—have produced readings 5–8 degrees above normal.

Traders should monitor weather forecasts beginning in early July 2026, particularly tracking whether ridge patterns develop over the southern United States in the weeks preceding the settlement date. La Niña or El Niño conditions, which influence summer heat patterns across the Southwest, will shape atmospheric dynamics months in advance. Real-time catalysts include upper-level atmospheric pressure systems, soil moisture conditions following spring precipitation, and any tropical systems that might introduce moisture or cloud cover into the region. The National Weather Service Dallas/Fort Worth office will issue increasingly precise forecasts as the date approaches, with the most reliable guidance typically available 7–10 days beforehand.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Highest temperature in Dallas on July 27?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.