Pronóstico: Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

Dallas will record its highest temperature on 13 July 2026, measured at Love Field Station, with settlement determined by historical weather data from Wunderground. The market currently shows 0% probability across all temperature ranges, suggesting either insufficient trader participation or an expectation that the event will not occur as specified.

July temperatures in Dallas typically peak between 95°F and 100°F, with extremes occasionally reaching 103°F or higher during heat waves. Historical records from the National Weather Service show that Dallas has experienced temperatures above 105°F on multiple occasions during summer months, though such readings remain outliers rather than routine occurrences. The 0% crowd probability likely reflects the market's early stage rather than a genuine forecast that no temperature will be recorded; traders may be waiting for closer proximity to the settlement date before committing capital, or the market may lack sufficient liquidity to establish meaningful odds.

Traders should monitor long-range weather forecasts as July 2026 approaches, particularly any signals of high-pressure systems or heat dome formations that typically drive Dallas temperatures upward. The National Weather Service's extended outlook, updated weekly, will provide the most actionable guidance on whether atmospheric conditions favour above-normal or below-normal temperatures for that specific date. Seasonal patterns suggest July heat is nearly certain, making the practical question whether temperatures will fall into the higher or lower ranges offered by the market rather than whether any reading will occur at all.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.