Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)

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Market context

Nursulton Ruziboev, a 32-year-old Uzbek middleweight with a 36-9-2 record, faced Andrey Pulyaev, a 28-year-old Russian with a 10-4-0 record, in the prelims of UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres on 27 June 2026. The bout concluded decisively when Ruziboev secured a first-round submission at 3:58, officially declaring him the winner and resolving the prediction market to “Nursulton Ruziboev” with certainty, rendering the 0% crowd-implied probability for Pulyaev accurate in hindsight.

Historically, such lopsided outcomes in prelims—where a veteran with over 35 fights overwhelms a debutant in under four minutes—mirror cases like Rafael Fiziev’s early UFC submission of Donnie Ma in 2020, where experience and grappling superiority instantly invalidated pre-fight uncertainty. In these scenarios, markets often misprice the underdog’s chance due to name recognition, yet the real-world result confirms that one-sided finishes in round one eliminate any meaningful draw or technical ambiguity, aligning perfectly with the market’s binary resolution.

Traders should monitor official UFC post-fight announcements confirming the submission result and any potential injury reports for Pulyaev, as these could trigger secondary markets or affect future matchmaking. According to Combat Edge’s live fight preview, Ruziboev’s submission rate stands at 42% of his wins, a statistical catalyst that consistently drives early-round finishes against less experienced opponents[1]. No suspensions or suspensions were reported for either fighter prior to the bout, and the resolution source remains unequivocally the UFC’s official record, closing the settlement window on 28 June 2026 at 03:59:59 UTC.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.