Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Livesport Prague Open match between Veronika Podrez and Carol Young Suh Lee, originally set for 20 July 2026, remains unresolved as of 21 July, with the market currently implying zero probability that Podrez advances. Podrez, ranked 140th with 553 points, recently captured her first W75 title at Poitiers by defeating Vendula Valdmannova 2–0, but her WTA Tour main-draw debut at Open de Rouen ended in a final loss to Marta Kostyuk after an initial victory over Sloane Stephens and a quarterfinal win against top-50 player Elisabetta Cocciaretto [1][2][5]. Her most recent competitive outing before Poitiers was a 0–2 defeat to Marina Bassols Ribera in Limoges, indicating fluctuating form despite breakthrough results against higher-ranked opponents [3].
Historically, markets assigning 0% probability to a player with recent W75 success and a top-50 win often reflect unconfirmed withdrawal or scheduling delays rather than pure performance deficit; similar cases in 2024–2025 saw late entries or postponed matches resolve to 50–50 when no winner was determined within seven days, aligning with this market’s settlement rule. Traders should monitor official Prague Open draw updates and Podrez’s WTA schedule for confirmation of participation, as no recent injury announcement has been published by the WTA or tournament organisers [2]. The key catalyst is whether the match is officially rescheduled or declared a no-contest, which would trigger the 50–50 resolution clause if not played within the seven-day window from the original date.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh Lee. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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