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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo 100% Completed Match 100% US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $1.1M Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo100%
Completed Match100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-6.5100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-2.5100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 3.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 36.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 38.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 40.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 O/U 8.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Tabilo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexand…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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