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Pronóstico: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set 1 Winner 100% Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $362K Liquidity: $126K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
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Pronóstico: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set 1 Winner100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set 2 O/U 9.591%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Match O/U 22.591%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau87%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Match O/U 21.554%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set 2 O/U 8.553%
Completed Match50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set 2 Winner50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Match O/U 23.550%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau Set Handicap +/-1.550%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau. This market refers to the tennis match between Clement Tabur and Matteo Martineau in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'C…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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