Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Andre Ilagan and Tristan Schoolkate are scheduled to meet in a Brownsburg tennis match originally set for 14 August 2026. The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally strong conviction in one player's superiority or minimal trading activity establishing a baseline. Settlement occurs 21 August 2026, allowing a seven-day window for rescheduling before the market resolves to a 50-50 split if the match remains unplayed.
The current odds warrant scrutiny against both players' recent form and their historical matchup record. Ilagan and Schoolkate's head-to-head record, if established, would typically anchor expectations; however, if this represents an early-career or infrequent pairing, traders should examine their respective performances across comparable competition levels and surfaces. Recent tournament results, ranking trajectories, and performance consistency in the weeks preceding August provide the factual basis for assessing whether the 100% reading reflects genuine dominance or merely thin liquidity.
Key variables include injury disclosures, withdrawal announcements, or schedule changes from the tournament organisers. Traders should monitor official Brownsburg tournament communications and both players' social media or ATP/WTA updates for fitness concerns or competing commitments. Weather disruptions in early August could trigger the seven-day delay clause, making the settlement contingent on whether play resumes within that window. Any late withdrawal or cancellation announcement would immediately alter the market's resolution pathway.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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