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Pronóstico: Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken 100% Completed Match 100% Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $125K Liquidity: $314K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken100%
Completed Match100%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 Winner100%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Match O/U 21.5100%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Match O/U 22.5100%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Match O/U 23.5100%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Set 1 Winner0%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Lloyd Harris and Harry Wendelken are scheduled to compete in a professional tennis match in Brownsburg on 14 August 2026, with the settlement window closing on 21 August. The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally strong conviction in Harris's advancement or minimal liquidity in the market, as even heavily favoured players rarely trade at such extremes in competitive tennis matchups. Harris, a South African professional ranked in the lower-to-mid ATP range, has competed sporadically on the secondary circuit in recent seasons following injury setbacks that disrupted his career trajectory around 2023–2024. Wendelken, an American player, operates primarily on Challenger and ITF circuits with limited ATP exposure, suggesting a significant ranking and experience gap if both players are competing at their standard level.

The settlement mechanism introduces material risk beyond match outcome. Any cancellation, tie result, or delay exceeding seven days from the scheduled date triggers a 50-50 resolution, whilst incomplete matches that produce a winner through retirement or disqualification resolve according to advancement rules. Traders should monitor tournament announcements through the ATP and Challenger databases for fixture confirmation, weather alerts for the Brownsburg venue, and any late injury withdrawals from either player. The extended settlement window—seven days beyond the original date—provides buffer for rescheduling, though August weather patterns in the region occasionally disrupt outdoor tennis schedules. Head-to-head records between Harris and Wendelken appear absent from standard ATP databases, suggesting either no prior professional meeting or competition exclusively at lower-tier events where records are less comprehensively tracked.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets