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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 1 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin 50% Completed Match 50% Volume: $251K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 1 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin50%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 2 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Game Spread +/-2.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Match O/U 38.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 3 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set Handicap +/-2.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: us open atp: grigor dimitrov vs alexei popyrin stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Grigor Dimitrov and Alexei Popyrin in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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