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Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo 100% Completed Match 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Set 2 Winner 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $69K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo100%
Completed Match100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Set 2 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Set 1 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Game Spread +/-1.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Match O/U 21.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Match O/U 22.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Yunchaokete Bu’s US Open qualifying match against Borna Gojo has already been played, and Bu won in straight sets, 6-4 6-4, in about 1 hour 20 minutes. That makes the current 100% YES price look consistent with a completed result rather than an unresolved live event.[1][14][15]

The historical read is straightforward: Bu entered as the higher-ranked player, with ATP listings around No. 120 to Gojo’s No. 161, and he had also beaten Rio Noguchi in the first qualifying round before facing Gojo.[1][2][15] Gojo likewise advanced through qualifying with a straight-sets win over Zdenek Kolar, but there is no sign here of a retirement, walkover, or cancellation risk that would push the market towards the 50-50 fallback.[2][6][11]

For traders, the main catalysts are procedural rather than performance-based: the official draw and schedule show this as a men’s singles qualifying match at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Centre, with the market’s settlement window running to 2 September and the fallback deadline to 9 September if no winner is recorded.[4][6][7] Any late official correction to the result, or an abnormal replay/void on the event feed, would matter more than injury chatter at this point, because the match has already reached a completed scoreline.[1][13][14]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Borna Gojo. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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