Pronóstico: Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?

Platform comparison

Market context

Elon Musk’s net worth is being driven almost entirely by the market value of **Tesla** and **SpaceX**, with Bloomberg currently showing him at about **$942 billion** and reporting that he remains the world’s richest person.[2] Other July 2026 estimates have been much lower — roughly **$725 billion** from Forbes on 24 July, and around **$684 billion** in a 1 August Fortune report after a further sell-off — which shows how quickly the headline number can swing when private-company marks move.[6][4]

The useful historical comparison is that Musk’s wealth has already moved through several extreme re-ratings in 2026: Wikipedia’s July 2026 snapshot put him at **$932 billion** on Bloomberg’s measure, while FinanceFeeds cited about **$709 billion** after a steep June-to-July decline.[1][3] That kind of spread matters for settlement because the market is tied to a single end-date datapoint, not an average, so the probability will be most sensitive to where Tesla and SpaceX sit on the final Bloomberg update for 31 July 2026.[2][4]

For traders, the main catalysts are any fresh revaluation of **SpaceX**, Tesla share moves, and any corporate events that change how Bloomberg marks Musk’s private holdings.[1][3] Recent reporting has pointed to a violent reset after SpaceX and Tesla weakness, with Fortune noting on 29 July that the fall in SpaceX shares pushed Musk below **$700 billion** for the first time since December.[12] Bloomberg’s own profile is the key resolution source, so the line will mainly react to whether the final July mark gets revised up or down after market close and any late-company news that feeds into that valuation.[2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.