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Pronóstico: Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -5.5 100% Spread -6.5 100% Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 18.5 100% Awa Fam: Points O/U 11.5 100% Volume: $218K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 18.5100%
Awa Fam: Points O/U 11.5100%
Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 6.5100%
Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.550%
Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.550%
Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.510%
Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 15.510%
Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.510%
Flau'jae Johnson: Points O/U 12.510%
Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.510%
Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.510%
Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.510%
Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 18.510%
Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.51%
Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury0%
O/U 167.50%
O/U 166.50%
O/U 168.50%
O/U 169.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: seattle storm vs. phoenix mercury. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 2 at 10:00PM ET: If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will res…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -5.5 at 100% for "Pronóstico: Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury".

Spread -5.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $218K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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