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Pronóstico: Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics

Football snapshot for "Pronóstico: Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 66% O/U 167.5 54% Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 14.5 52% Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5 51% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $731K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.566%
O/U 167.554%
Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 14.552%
Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.551%
Spread -1.550%
O/U 168.550%
Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics48%
Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.548%
Sonia Citron: Points O/U 15.547%
Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.544%
Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 8.543%
Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.543%
Shakira Austin: Points O/U 17.540%
Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 4.540%
Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.538%
Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.533%
Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 10.532%
Kiki Iriafen: Assists O/U 1.530%
Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 4.527%
Kelsey Plum: Points O/U 18.526%
Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.526%
Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 20.525%
Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.524%
Kelsey Plum: Rebounds O/U 2.522%
Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.522%

Market context

Market consensus: 66% chance of pronóstico: phoenix mercury vs. washington mystics. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 9 at 3:00PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the Washington Mystics win, the market …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 at 66% for "Pronóstico: Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics".

Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 66% Other 34%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $95K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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