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Pronóstico: Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 3.5 60% Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 23.5 55% A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 55% Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.5 51% Volume: $135K Liquidity: $962K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 3.560%
Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 23.555%
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.555%
Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.551%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever50%
Spread -1.549%
Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 8.549%
NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 11.549%
O/U 192.549%
O/U 193.548%
NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 10.548%
Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 24.548%
Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.547%
Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 2.547%
Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 15.546%
Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.546%
Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.545%
O/U 194.545%
O/U 195.543%
Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 9.542%
A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.541%
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.539%
Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.539%
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 10.533%
Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.529%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 27.528%
NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.528%
Jackie Young: Points O/U 18.527%
NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 12.526%
Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 16.524%
Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 4.524%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: las vegas aces vs. indiana fever stands at 60% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 6 at 7:00PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the Indiana Fever win, the market will re…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 3.5 at 60% for "Pronóstico: Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever".

Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 3.5 60% Other 40%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $135K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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