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Pronóstico: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty

"Pronóstico: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Spread -8.5 49% O/U 187.5 49% Spread -9.5 46% Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 18.5 42% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $815K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
49% 51% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
49% 51% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -8.549%
O/U 187.549%
Spread -9.546%
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 18.542%
Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 16.542%
Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.540%
Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.540%
Pauline Astier: Points O/U 7.537%
Pauline Astier: Assists O/U 2.530%
Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 7.528%
Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 22.527%
Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.527%
Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.526%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.525%
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.525%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.525%
Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.525%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty24%
Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.524%
Dearica Hamby: Rebounds O/U 7.524%
Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 3.524%
Rae Burrell: Rebounds O/U 2.522%
Rae Burrell: Assists O/U 2.521%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 49% YES probability for Pronóstico: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 13 at 8:00PM ET: If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -8.5 at 49% for "Pronóstico: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty".

Spread -8.5 49% Other 51%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $131K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Trade Pronóstico: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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Related Topics

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