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Pronóstico: Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5 77% Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 17.5 75% O/U 171.5 75% O/U 172.5 70% Volume: $200K Liquidity: $202K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.577%
Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 17.575%
O/U 171.575%
O/U 172.570%
O/U 173.567%
O/U 174.564%
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury63%
Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.557%
Lexie Hull: Points O/U 9.551%
Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 23.550%
Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.550%
Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 6.550%
Lexie Hull: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Kelsey Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.550%
Tyasha Harris: Assists O/U 4.550%
Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 20.537%
Spread -1.532%
Lexie Hull: Points O/U 8.529%
Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.528%
DeWanna Bonner: Points O/U 11.526%
Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 19.525%
DeWanna Bonner: Rebounds O/U 6.524%
Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.520%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 77% probability to pronóstico: indiana fever vs. phoenix mercury. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 9 at 10:00PM ET: If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mer…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5 at 77% for "Pronóstico: Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury".

Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5 77% Other 23%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $200K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Trade Pronóstico: Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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