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Pronóstico: Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -5.5 53% O/U 161.5 53% O/U 162.5 51% Spread -6.5 49% Volume: $77K Liquidity: $249K Closes: 18 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -5.553%
O/U 161.553%
O/U 162.551%
Spread -6.549%
O/U 163.548%
Odyssey Sims: Rebounds O/U 2.546%
Spread -7.544%
Odyssey Sims: Points O/U 10.541%
Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.536%
Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 2.535%
Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 3.533%
Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 3.532%
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries31%
Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 3.531%
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 12.529%
Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 3.528%
Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 9.528%
Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.528%
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.528%
Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 9.528%
Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 18.528%
Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 15.527%
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.527%
Odyssey Sims: Points O/U 9.527%
Veronica Burton: Points O/U 13.526%
Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.526%
Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 19.525%
Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.525%
Odyssey Sims: Assists O/U 3.525%
Cecilia Zandalasini: Rebounds O/U 2.525%
Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 10.525%
Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.523%
Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 12.520%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries prediction market currently prices this outcome at 53% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 17 at 10:00PM ET: If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings". If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Gol…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -5.5 at 53% for "Pronóstico: Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries".

Spread -5.5 53% Other 47%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $77K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Trade Pronóstico: Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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Related Topics

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