Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
75% | 25% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
75% | 25% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.5 | 75% |
| Spread -10.5 | 63% |
| Spread -11.5 | 59% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Azzi Fudd: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jessica Shepard: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| O/U 171.5 | 42% |
| O/U 172.5 | 39% |
| O/U 173.5 | 36% |
| Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings | 8% |
Market context
The Pronóstico: Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings prediction market currently prices this outcome at 75% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 2 at 7:00PM ET: If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $396K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade Pronóstico: Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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