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Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $419K Liquidity: $582K Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+9.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+8.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-10.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+10.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+8.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-10.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+10.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: valorant: gentle mates vs nongshim redforce (bo3) - esports world cup group c stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between Gentle Mates and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 5 at 9:45AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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