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Pronóstico: Sweden vs. Romania - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Sweden vs. Romania - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 96% Sweden O/U 0.5 90% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 83% O/U 1.5 82% Volume: $147K Liquidity: $887K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Sweden vs. Romania - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
Sweden O/U 0.590%
2nd Half O/U 0.583%
O/U 1.582%
1st Half O/U 0.575%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.572%
Sweden O/U 1.565%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.563%
O/U 2.561%
Romania O/U 0.560%
Both Teams to Score54%
2nd Half O/U 1.551%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Romania (-4.5)50%
Sweden (-5.5)50%
2nd Half O/U 4.550%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Romania 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Romania 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 3.549%
Sweden (-1.5)42%
1st Half O/U 4.542%
1st Half O/U 1.540%
Romania 2nd Half O/U 0.540%
O/U 3.538%
Sweden O/U 2.537%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 3.535%
Romania 1st Half O/U 0.533%
Romania O/U 4.533%
Romania O/U 5.533%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half28%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.526%
2nd Half O/U 2.524%
Romania O/U 1.523%
Sweden (-2.5)22%
Both Teams to Score in First Half21%
O/U 4.520%
Romania 1st Half O/U 2.520%
Romania 1st Half O/U 3.520%
Sweden O/U 3.518%
1st Half O/U 2.516%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 2.513%
Romania O/U 3.511%
Sweden (-3.5)10%
O/U 5.59%
Romania 2nd Half O/U 1.58%
Sweden (-4.5)7%
Sweden O/U 4.57%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 2.57%
Romania O/U 2.56%
Romania 1st Half O/U 1.56%
1st Half O/U 3.55%
Romania (-1.5)4%
O/U 6.54%
Sweden O/U 5.52%
Romania (-2.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.51%
Romania (-3.5)0%
Romania (-5.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 96% chance of pronóstico: sweden vs. romania - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 25 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Sweden vs. Romania - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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