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Pronóstico: Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Poland 65% Draw 22% Bosnia and Herzegovina 14% Volume: $180K Liquidity: $737K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Poland65%
Draw22%
Bosnia and Herzegovina14%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 65% YES probability for Pronóstico: Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina. This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Poland and Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Poland at 65% for "Pronóstico: Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina".

Poland 65% Other 35%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $180K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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