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Pronóstico: North Macedonia vs. Switzerland

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: North Macedonia vs. Switzerland" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Switzerland 73% Draw 20% North Macedonia 9% Volume: $127K Liquidity: $927K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: North Macedonia vs. Switzerland

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Switzerland73%
Draw20%
North Macedonia9%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 73% YES probability for Pronóstico: North Macedonia vs. Switzerland. This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between North Macedonia and Switzerland.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Switzerland at 73% for "Pronóstico: North Macedonia vs. Switzerland".

Switzerland 73% Other 27%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $127K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: North Macedonia vs. Switzerland. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Trade Pronóstico: North Macedonia vs. Switzerland on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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