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Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Fight won by submission? 100% Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha 0% Fight to Go the Distance? 0% Fight won by KO/TKO? 0% Volume: $98K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by submission?100%
Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha0%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Sutherland to win by KO/TKO?0%
Montanha to win by KO/TKO?0%
O/U 0.5 Rounds0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%

Market context

Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims) — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market will resolve to "Louie Sutherland" if Louie Sutherland is officially declared the winner of the fight against José Montanha at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by submission? at 100% for "Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)".

Fight won by submission? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $98K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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