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Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott 54% O/U 0.5 Rounds 53% O/U 1.5 Rounds 53% Fight won by KO/TKO? 49% Volume: $203K Liquidity: $143K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott54%
O/U 0.5 Rounds53%
O/U 1.5 Rounds53%
Fight won by KO/TKO?49%
Fight won by submission?48%
O/U 2.5 Rounds48%
Fight to Go the Distance?37%
Anderson to win by KO/TKO?32%
Elliott to win by KO/TKO?10%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 54% probability to pronóstico: ufc fight night: damien anderson vs. ezra elliott (featherweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Damien Anderson" if Damien Anderson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ezra Elliott at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 20…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott at 54% for "Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)".

Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott 54% Other 46%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $203K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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