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Pronóstico: Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Celtic FC (-1.5) 100% Celtic FC (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $279K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Celtic FC (-1.5)100%
Celtic FC (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Celtic FC O/U 0.5100%
Celtic FC O/U 1.5100%
Celtic FC O/U 2.5100%
Celtic FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Celtic FC 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Celtic FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Team to Advance94%
LASK Linz (-1.5)0%
LASK Linz (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
LASK Linz O/U 0.50%
LASK Linz O/U 1.50%
LASK Linz O/U 2.50%
LASK Linz 1st Half O/U 0.50%
LASK Linz 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Celtic FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
LASK Linz 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
LASK Linz 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz - More Markets. More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for August 19 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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