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Pronóstico: Seahawks vs. Chiefs

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Seahawks vs. Chiefs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 16.5 100% 1Q O/U 1.5 100% 1Q O/U 4.5 100% 1H Spread -0.5 90% Volume: $189K Liquidity: $441K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Seahawks vs. Chiefs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 16.5100%
1Q O/U 1.5100%
1Q O/U 4.5100%
1H Spread -0.590%
O/U 18.587%
O/U 20.554%
Seahawks vs. Chiefs50%
Seahawks O/U 18.550%
Chiefs O/U 18.550%
Seahawks O/U 19.550%
Chiefs O/U 17.550%
Spread -0.550%
O/U 22.550%
O/U 26.550%
O/U 28.550%
O/U 40.550%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 46.550%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 52.550%
O/U 56.550%
Seahawks O/U 13.550%
Seahawks O/U 16.550%
Seahawks O/U 22.550%
Seahawks O/U 25.550%
Chiefs O/U 12.550%
Chiefs O/U 15.550%
Chiefs O/U 21.550%
Chiefs O/U 24.550%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 25+50%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 19-2450%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 13-1850%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-1250%
Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Tie50%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 7-1350%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 14-2050%
Exact Margin: Chiefs by 21+50%
Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Chiefs Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Seahawks vs. Chiefs: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.550%
Seahawks vs. Chiefs: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Moneyline50%
1Q Moneyline50%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H O/U 10.550%
2H O/U 13.550%
2H O/U 16.550%
2H O/U 19.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
Spread -1.543%
Spread -1.540%
Spread -2.539%
O/U 24.533%
O/U 32.521%
Spread -3.516%
Spread -4.516%
1H O/U 17.510%
1H Moneyline10%
Chiefs 1H O/U 6.510%
Chiefs 1H O/U 8.510%
Chiefs 1H O/U 10.510%
Seahawks 1H O/U 6.510%
Seahawks 1H O/U 8.510%
Seahawks 1H O/U 10.510%
1Q Spread -0.510%
1Q Spread -1.510%
1Q Spread -2.510%
1Q O/U 7.510%
1Q O/U 10.510%
1Q O/U 13.510%
1Q Spread -3.510%
1Q Spread -4.510%
1H O/U 18.510%
1Q Spread -0.510%
1Q Spread -1.510%
1Q Spread -2.510%
O/U 30.59%
O/U 33.54%
O/U 36.53%
O/U 35.53%
O/U 34.53%
O/U 38.52%
O/U 42.51%
O/U 48.51%
O/U 54.51%

Market context

Pronóstico: Seahawks vs. Chiefs — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 8:00PM ET: If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks". If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If the game is postponed, …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 16.5 at 100% for "Pronóstico: Seahawks vs. Chiefs".

O/U 16.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $189K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Seahawks vs. Chiefs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Trade Pronóstico: Seahawks vs. Chiefs on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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Related Topics

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