Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| Panthers O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Panthers O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Texans Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texans vs. Panthers: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texans vs. Panthers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 25+ | 45% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 19-24 | 45% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 13-18 | 45% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 7-12 | 45% |
| Exact Margin: Texans by 1-6 | 45% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 45% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-13 | 45% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 14-20 | 45% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 21+ | 45% |
| Panthers O/U 17.5 | 1% |
| Texans O/U 18.5 | 1% |
| Texans O/U 19.5 | 1% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 1% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 1% |
| Texans O/U 13.5 | 1% |
| Texans O/U 16.5 | 1% |
| Texans O/U 22.5 | 1% |
| Texans O/U 25.5 | 1% |
| Texans vs. Panthers | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| O/U 42.5 | 0% |
| O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| O/U 50.5 | 0% |
| O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Texans 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Texans 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Texans 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
Market context
Pronóstico: Texans vs. Panthers — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 7:00PM ET: If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans". If Panthers wins, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If the game is postponed, …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $217K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Texans vs. Panthers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade Pronóstico: Texans vs. Panthers on Mundial 2026 Grupos
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