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Pronóstico: NBA Free Agency: Draymond Green Next Team

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: NBA Free Agency: Draymond Green Next Team" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Golden State Warriors 91% Team A 50% Team B 50% Other 50% Volume: $293K Liquidity: $9K Closes: 31 Oct 2026
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Pronóstico: NBA Free Agency: Draymond Green Next Team

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Golden State Warriors91%
Team A50%
Team B50%
Other50%
Cleveland Cavaliers27%
Orlando Magic7%
Brooklyn Nets5%
Miami Heat5%
Detroit Pistons4%
Indiana Pacers3%
Los Angeles Lakers2%
Washington Wizards2%
Atlanta Hawks1%
Charlotte Hornets1%
Dallas Mavericks1%
LA Clippers1%
Memphis Grizzlies1%
Milwaukee Bucks1%
New Orleans Pelicans1%
Oklahoma City Thunder1%
Philadelphia 76ers1%
Phoenix Suns1%
San Antonio Spurs1%
Toronto Raptors1%
Utah Jazz1%
Boston Celtics0%
Chicago Bulls0%
Denver Nuggets0%
Houston Rockets0%
Minnesota Timberwolves0%
New York Knicks0%
Portland Trail Blazers0%
Sacramento Kings0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 91% YES probability for Pronóstico: NBA Free Agency: Draymond Green Next Team. This market will resolve to the next team Draymond Green officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Draymond Green does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, thi…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: NBA Free Agency: Draymond Green Next Team. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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Related Topics

NBA Prediction Markets