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Pronóstico: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $264K Liquidity: $911K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Orlando City SC O/U 0.5100%
Orlando City SC O/U 1.5100%
Orlando City SC O/U 2.5100%
Orlando City SC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Orlando City SC 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Orlando City SC (-1.5)84%
O/U 3.583%
Both Teams to Score64%
San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.562%
Orlando City SC (-2.5)59%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half53%
O/U 4.551%
2nd Half O/U 0.551%
2nd Half O/U 2.551%
San Jose Earthquakes 2nd Half O/U 0.551%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
San Jose Earthquakes 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Orlando City SC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Orlando City SC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
San Jose Earthquakes O/U 1.525%
O/U 5.522%
San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.59%
San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)2%
San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)2%
1st Half O/U 2.51%
San Jose Earthquakes 1st Half O/U 0.51%
San Jose Earthquakes 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: san jose earthquakes vs. orlando city sc - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 22 at 10:30 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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