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Pronóstico: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% O/U 5.5 68% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 65% O/U 6.5 57% Volume: $655K Liquidity: $645K Closes: 11 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.579%
O/U 5.568%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.565%
O/U 6.557%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.554%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.552%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
Extra Innings50%
O/U 7.543%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers42%
Spread -1.535%
O/U 8.535%
Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.527%
Spread -2.523%
Spread -2.517%
NRFI0%

Market context

Pronóstico: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers — current market-implied probability: 79%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for August 4 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 79% for "Pronóstico: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% Other 21%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $655K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Trade Pronóstico: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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