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Pronóstico: Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Chicago Cubs O/U 1.5 78% Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 76% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 63% Chicago Cubs O/U 2.5 63% Volume: $136K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Pronóstico: Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Chicago Cubs O/U 1.578%
Boston Red Sox O/U 1.576%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.563%
Chicago Cubs O/U 2.563%
O/U 5.561%
Boston Red Sox O/U 2.556%
Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox53%
O/U 6.553%
Boston Red Sox O/U 5.553%
Chicago Cubs O/U 3.548%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.544%
Boston Red Sox O/U 3.542%
NRFI39%
O/U 7.539%
Spread -1.538%
Chicago Cubs O/U 4.535%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.530%
Spread -1.528%
Boston Red Sox O/U 4.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.526%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.526%
Spread -2.526%
Chicago Cubs O/U 5.524%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.522%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.520%
Spread -2.520%
Extra Innings12%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox prediction market currently prices this outcome at 78% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 25 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This marke…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Chicago Cubs O/U 1.5 at 78% for "Pronóstico: Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox".

Chicago Cubs O/U 1.5 78% Other 22%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $136K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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Related Topics

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