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Pronóstico: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

How the prediction market is pricing "Pronóstico: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 70% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 60% New York Yankees O/U 2.5 60% O/U 5.5 56% Volume: $74K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 7 Oct 2026
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Pronóstico: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Mundial 2026 Grupos) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Boston Red Sox O/U 1.570%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.560%
New York Yankees O/U 2.560%
O/U 5.556%
New York Yankees O/U 1.555%
Boston Red Sox O/U 2.554%
O/U 6.547%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees45%
New York Yankees O/U 3.544%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.543%
NRFI39%
Boston Red Sox O/U 3.539%
Spread -1.536%
Boston Red Sox O/U 5.536%
O/U 7.535%
Spread -1.531%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.531%
New York Yankees O/U 4.530%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.529%
New York Yankees O/U 5.528%
Spread -2.525%
Spread -2.521%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.521%
Boston Red Sox O/U 4.521%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.520%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.512%
Extra Innings12%

Market context

Pronóstico: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees — current market-implied probability: 70%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 29 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. Th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 at 70% for "Pronóstico: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees".

Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $74K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pronóstico: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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Trade Pronóstico: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees on Mundial 2026 Grupos

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Related Topics

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